Archive for June, 2012
June 30, 2012 at 1:58 pm · Filed under NZ Issues Polls ·Tagged Digipoll, gay adoption, gay marriage, NZ Herald, same sex adoption, same sex marriage
The Herald reports:
A Herald-DigiPoll showed that 61.2 per cent of the public felt adoption law should be changed to allow all couples, including same-sex couples, to adopt while 35.1 per cent felt adoption should be kept to heterosexual couples. The survey also showed more than half of New Zealanders approved of gay marriage, while 40.5 per cent opposed it.
The poll had a sample size of 750 people, interviewed between June 18 and June 28, and had a margin of error of 3.6 per cent.
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June 24, 2012 at 9:09 am · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged asset sales, Herald on Sunday, Key Research, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM
Polling Company: Key Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 700, of whom 589 had a party preference
Undecideds: 15.9%
Dates: 20 to 22 June 2012
Client: Herald on Sunday
Report: Herald on Sunday and full results on Scribd
Party Support
- National 47.9% (-8.5%)
- Labour 30.4% (+6.2%)
- Green 14.8% (+2.2%)
- ACT 0.5% (nc)
- Maori 1.7% (+1.1%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.3%)
- Mana 0.2% (-0.1%)
- NZ First 3.2% (-0.4%)
- Conservative 0.8% (-0.6%)
Note comparisons are to a pre-election poll, done eights months ago.
Projected Seats
- National 61
- Labour 38
- Green 19
- ACT 0
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Conservative 0
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 61 + United Future 1 = 62/123 – the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Greens 19 + Mana 1= 58/122 -4 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 45.9%
- David Shearer 16.9%
- Winston Peters 3.2%
Asset Sales
- 25% support partial sales, 64% against
- 60% would purchase shares if they had the money, 31% would not
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June 17, 2012 at 7:09 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,038, of whom 996 have a party preference
Undecideds: 4.0%
Dates: 28 May 2012 to 07 June 2012
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 46.0% (+2.0%)
- Labour 31.0% (+0.5%)
- Green 12.5% (-1.0%)
- NZ First 5.5% (+0.5%)
- Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- ACT 0.0% (-1.0%)
- Mana 1.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 56
- Labour 38
- Green 15
- ACT 0
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 7
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 56 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – 4 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Greens 15 + NZ First 7 + Mana 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 48.0% (-1.0%)
- Wrong 37.5% (-0.5%)
- Can’t Say 14.5% (+1.5%)
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June 10, 2012 at 7:34 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged 3 News, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, Reid Research, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: assumed 02 to 07 June 2012
Client: 3 News
Report: 3 News
Party Support
- National 45.8% (-4.0%)
- Labour 33.2% (+3.8%)
- Green 14.4% (+0.3%)
- ACT 0.5% (+0.3%)
- Maori 1.4% (-0.2%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- Mana 0.3% (-0.6%)
- NZ First 2.8% (+0.5%)
- Conservative 1.1% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 57
- Labour 42
- Green 18
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 58/123 – three fewer than minimum 62 needed to govern
- CL – Labour 42 + Greens 18 + Mana 1 = 61/122 -one fewer than minimum 62 needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 40.5% (-3.7%)
- Shearer 12.3% (+1.9%)
- Peters 4.8%
- Norman 4.0%
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June 4, 2012 at 10:21 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, NZ Political Party Polls, One News, Preferred PM, TVNZ
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000
Undecideds:
Dates: assume 26 May to 31 May 2012
Client: One News
Report: One News
Party Support
- National 47.0% (-4.0%)
- Labour 33.0% (+4.0%)
- Green 13.0% (+2.0%)
- ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
- Maori 1.0% (+0.1%)
- United Future 0% (-0.2%)
- Mana 1.0% (nc)
- NZ First 2.0% (-1.1%)
- Conservative 1.0% (-0.4%)
Projected Seats
- National 58
- Labour 41
- Green 17
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Conservative 0
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/122 – 2 less than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 41 + Greens 17 + Mana 1= 59/122 -3 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 48% (nc)
- David Shearer 14% (+3%)
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June 4, 2012 at 10:01 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 944, of whom 906 have a party preference
Undecideds: 4.0%
Dates: 14 May 2012 to 27 May 2012
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 44.0% (-0.5%)
- Labour 30.5% (+0.5%)
- Green 13.5% (-1.5%)
- NZ First 5.0% (-0.5%)
- Maori 2.0% (+1.0%)
- United Future 0.5% (-0.5%)
- ACT 1.0% (+1.0%)
- Mana 1.0% (+0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 55
- Labour 38
- Green 17
- ACT 0
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 6
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 55 + United Future 1 = 56/122 – 5 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Greens 17 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 62/121 – 1 more than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 49.0% (-2.0%)
- Wrong 38.0% (+2.5%)
- Can’t Say 13.0% (-0.5%)
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June 4, 2012 at 9:54 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 894, of whom 849 have a party preference
Undecideds: 5.0%
Dates: 30 April 2012 to 13 May 2012
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 44.5% (-2.5%)
- Labour 30.0% (+1.5%)
- Green 15.0% (nc)
- NZ First 5.5% (+0.5%)
- Maori 1.0% (-0.5%)
- United Future 1.0% (+0.5%)
- ACT 0.0% (-0.5%)
- Mana 0.5% (+0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 55
- Labour 37
- Green 18
- ACT 0
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 7
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 55 + United Future 1 = 56/122 – 6 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Greens 18 + NZ First 7 + Mana 1 = 63/121 – 1 more than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 51.0% (-4.0%)
- Wrong 35.5% (+2.5%)
- Can’t Say 13.5% (-0.5%)
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