Roy Morgan Poll late March 2012

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 948, of whom 915 have a party preference

Undecideds: 3.5%

Dates: 12 March 2012 to 1 April 2012

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 44.0% (-4.5%)
  • Labour 30.5% (+0.5%)
  • Green 17.0% (+4.5%)
  • NZ First 5.0% (nc)
  • Maori 1.5% (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • ACT 0.5% (nc)
  • Mana 0.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 53
  • Labour 36
  • Green 20
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 6
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 53 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 55/122 – 6 less than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 20 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 63/122 – 2 greater than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 53.5% (+1.0%)
  • Wrong 29.5% (-4.5%)
  • Can’t Say 17.0% (+3.5%)
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  1. [...] blogged at Curiablog the details of the latest Roy Morgan [...]

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