Archive for November 23, 2011

Fairfax Research International Poll 23 November 2011

Polling Company: Research International

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000, of whom 838 are decided

Undeicdeds: 15.6%

Dates: 17 to 21 November 2011

Client: Fairfax

Report: Stuff

Party Support

  • National 54.0% (+1.5%)
  • Labour 26.0% (+0.1%)
  • Green 12.0% (-0.6%)
  • ACT 0.7% (-0.3%)
  • Maori 1.1% (-0.4%)
  • United Future 0.1% (-0.2%)
  • Mana 1.1% (+0.4%)
  • NZ First 4.0% (+1.2%)

Projected Seats

  • National 69
  • Labour 33
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 69 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 71/124 – 8 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 33 + Greens 15 + Mana 1= 49/124 -14 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 51.5% (-0.7%)
  • Phil Goff 12.5% (-1.0%)
  • Winston Peters 3.5% (-0.4%)

Preferred Government

  • Prefer one party to govern alone 39.7%
  • Prefer coalition 54.1%
  • No preference 3%

Comments (2)

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