Archive for November 9, 2011

Fairfax Research International poll early November 2011

Polling Company: Research International

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000

Dates: 03 to 07 November 2011

Client: Fairfax

Report: Stuff

Party Support

  • National 52.5% (-0.1%)
  • Labour 25.9% (-5.4%)
  • Green 12.6% (+2.9%)
  • ACT 1.0% (-0.2%)
  • Maori 1.5% (+0.3%)
  • United Future 0.3% (+0.2%)
  • Mana 0.7% (-0.3%)
  • NZ First 2.8% (+1.3%)

Projected Seats

  • National 67
  • Labour 33
  • Green 16
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 67 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 69/122 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 33 + Greens 16 + Mana 1= 50/124 -12 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 52.2% (-0.6%)
  • Phil Goff 13.5% (+4.4%)

 

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