Archive for November, 2011
November 25, 2011 at 9:05 am · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 959, of whom 921 have a party preference
Undecideds: 4.0%
Dates: 22 to 24 November 2011
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 49.5% (-3.5%)
- Labour 23.5% (-1.0%)
- Green 14.5% (+1.5%)
- ACT 1.5% (nc)
- Maori 1.0% (-2.0%)
- United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
- NZ First 6.5% (+3.5%)
- Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 60
- Labour 29
- Green 18
- ACT 2
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 8
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, Mana and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.Tonga.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 60 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 63/123 – 1 more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 29 + Greens 18 + NZ First 8 + Mana 1 = 57/122 – 5 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 49.5% (-11.0%)
- Wrong 31.0% (+7.0%)
- Can’t Say 19.5% (+4.0%)
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November 25, 2011 at 8:53 am · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Digipoll, NZ Herald, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM
Polling Company: DigiPoll
Poll Method: Random Phone
Undecideds: 7.7%
Poll Size: 850 respondents, of whom 785 had a party vote preference
Dates: 17 to 23 November 2011
Client: NZ Herald
Report: NZ Herald
Party Support
- National 50.9% (+1.0%)
- Labour 28.0% (-1.1%)
- Green 11.8% (-0.8%)
- NZ First 5.2% (+0.3%)
- Maori 0.4% (-0.3%)
- United Future 0.0% (-01.%)
- ACT 1.8% (+0.1%)
- Mana 0.3% (-0.1%)
- Conservative 1.3% (+0.3%)
Projected Seats
- National 63
- Labour 34
- Green 15
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- ACT 2
- Mana 1
- NZ First 6
- Total 126
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Mana one each with Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 63 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 66/126 – 2 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 34 + Greens 15 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 56/126 -8 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 66.3% (-2.2%)
- Goff 19.5% (+1.6%)
- Peters 4.3% (+0.6%)
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November 24, 2011 at 7:39 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged 3 News, Leader Ratings, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Undecideds: 12%
Dates: assumed 19 November to 23 November 2011
Client: 3 News
Report: 3 News
Party Support
- National 50.8% (+0.6%)
- Labour 26.0% (-1.4%)
- Green 13.4% (+0.4%)
- ACT 1.0% (+0.3%)
- Maori 1.5% (+0.2%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- Mana 1.1% (+0.1%)
- NZ First 3.1% (-0.4%)
- Conservative 1.8% (+0.7%)
Projected Seats
- National 65
- Labour 34
- Green 17
- ACT 1
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, Mana, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 65 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 67/123 – 5 more than minimum 62 needed to govern
- CL – Labour 34 + Greens 17 + Mana 1 = 52/123 -10 less than minimum 62 needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 49.0% (nc)
- Goff 12.0% (+2.0%)
- Peters 4.0% (nc)
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November 24, 2011 at 6:38 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, NZ Political Party Polls, One News, Preferred PM, TVNZ
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000
Undecideds:
Dates: 19 November to 23 November 2011
Client: One News
Report: One News
Party Support
- National 50.0% (-3.0%)
- Labour 28.0% (+2.0%)
- Green 10.0% (-3.0%)
- ACT 1.7% (+0.1%)
- Maori 2.0% (+0.4%)
- United Future 0.1% (-0.2%)
- Mana 1.0% (-0.3%)
- NZ First 4.2% (+2.0%)
- Conservative 2.4% (+1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 65
- Labour 36
- Green 13
- ACT 2
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Conservative 0
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 65 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 68/122 – 6 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Greens 13 + Mana 1= 50/122 -12 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 52% (-1%)
- Phil Goff 15% (+2%)
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November 23, 2011 at 8:08 am · Filed under Uncategorized
Polling Company: Research International
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000, of whom 838 are decided
Undeicdeds: 15.6%
Dates: 17 to 21 November 2011
Client: Fairfax
Report: Stuff
Party Support
- National 54.0% (+1.5%)
- Labour 26.0% (+0.1%)
- Green 12.0% (-0.6%)
- ACT 0.7% (-0.3%)
- Maori 1.1% (-0.4%)
- United Future 0.1% (-0.2%)
- Mana 1.1% (+0.4%)
- NZ First 4.0% (+1.2%)
Projected Seats
- National 69
- Labour 33
- Green 15
- ACT 1
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 69 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 71/124 – 8 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 33 + Greens 15 + Mana 1= 49/124 -14 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 51.5% (-0.7%)
- Phil Goff 12.5% (-1.0%)
- Winston Peters 3.5% (-0.4%)
Preferred Government
- Prefer one party to govern alone 39.7%
- Prefer coalition 54.1%
- No preference 3%
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November 21, 2011 at 4:00 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Digipoll, Electorate Polls, Te Karere, Te Tai Tonga
Digipoll did a poll of 400 respondents in the Te Tai Tonga electorate for Te Karere.
Party Vote
- Labour 36%
- Maori 25%
- National 15%
- Greens 12%
- Mana 17%
- NZ First 3%
Electorate Vote
- Rahui Katene (Maori) 46%
- Rino Tirikatene (Labour) 35%
- Dora Langsbury (Greens) 10%
- Clinton Dealove (Mana) 9%
Preferred PM
- John Key 29%
- Phil Goff 10%
- Pita Sharples 6%
- Metiria Turei 6%
- Tariana Turia 4%
- Hone Harawira 4%
Government Direction
Most favoured Maori MP
- Pita Sharples 26%
- Hone Harawira 11%
- Tariana Turia 10%
- Rahui Katene 8%
- Shane Jones 4%
- Metiria Turei 4%
Most Important Issue
- Jobs 15%
- Education 13%
- Economy 11%
- Asset Sales 10%
Well being
- Better Off 22%
- Worse Off 46%
- No difference 32%
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November 20, 2011 at 1:30 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Digipoll, Labour Leadership, National Leadership, NZ Herald
The NZ Herald reports:
If Phil Goff left politics, who would be the best Labour leader?
* Annette King 21.9 per cent
* David Cunliffe 16.3 per cent
* Shane Jones 12.7 per cent
* David Parker 11.2 per cent
If John Key left politics, who would be the best National leader?
* Bill English 27.1 per cent
* Steven Joyce 18.6 per cent
* Judith Collins 15.7 per cent
* Gerry Brownlee 10.6 per cent.
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November 20, 2011 at 12:27 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, NZ Political Party Polls, One News, Preferred PM, TVNZ
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,006
Undecideds:
Dates: 12 November to 16 November 2011
Client: One News
Report: One News
Party Support
- National 53.0% (-1.0%)
- Labour 26.0% (-2.0%)
- Green 13.0% (+4.0%)
- ACT 1.6% (+0.1%)
- Maori 1.6% (-0.5%)
- United Future 0.3% (-0.5%)
- Mana 1.3% (+1.1%)
- NZ First 2.2% (-0.7%)
- Conservative 1.4% (+0.9%)
Projected Seats
- National 66
- Labour 32
- Green 16
- ACT 2
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 2
- NZ First 0
- Conservative 0
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 66 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 69/122 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 32 + Greens 16 + Mana 2= 50/122 -12 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 53% (-2%)
- Phil Goff 13% (-1%)
- Winston Peters 3%
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November 20, 2011 at 12:15 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Electorate Polls, Epsom, Fairfax, Research International
Stuff reports:
A Fairfax Media-Research Media International mini-poll of 200 eligible Epsom voters showed National’s Paul Goldsmith easily winning the seat on 45.5 per cent.
ACT candidate John Banks trailed on 29.1 per cent, while Labour’s David Parker had 14.6 per cent. The snap poll, taken on Tuesday, showed last Friday’s meeting with National leader John Key shifted support away from Mr Banks.
Almost 30 per cent said they were now less likely to vote for him. Just under 23 per cent said Mr Key’s public endorsement made it more likely they would favour Mr Banks. About 43 per cent said it made no difference. However, the poll also showed almost 40 per cent were undecided over the blue-ribbon seat, suggesting voters were waiting to see if National needed ACT as a support partner.
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November 14, 2011 at 4:30 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Digipoll, Electorate Polls, Maori, Preferred PM, Te Karere, Waiariki
Digipoll did a poll of 400 respondents in the Waiariki electorate for Te Karere.
Party Vote
- Maori 40%
- Labour 28%
- Mana 15%
- National 9%
- NZ First 5%
- Greens 3%
Electorate Vote
- Te Ururoa Flavell (Maori) 56%
- Louis Te Kani (Labour) 22%
- Annette Sykes (Mana) 22%
Preferred PM
- John Key 19%
- Pita Sharples 9%
- Phil Goff 7%
- Shane Jones 6%
- Hone Harawira 6%
- Tariana Turia 4%
Government Direction
Most favoured Maori MP
- Te Ururoa Flavell 27%
- Pita Sharples 15%
- Hone Harawira 13%
- Tariana Turia 9%
- Shane Jones 5%
- Metiria Turei 2%
Most Important Issue
- Jobs 16%
- Education 12%
- Environment 9%
- Economy 9%
Well being
- Better Off 21%
- Worse Off 44%
- No difference 35%
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