3 News Reid Research Poll May 2011

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 20 May to 26 May 2011

Client: 3 News

Report:

Party Support

  • National 53.0% (-4.5%)
  • Labour 32.8% (+5.7%)
  • Green 6.5% (-1.2%)
  • ACT 2.2% (+0.5%)
  • Maori 1.6%  (-0.9%)
  • United Future 0.2%
  • Mana 0.5%
  • NZ First 2.4% (-0.4%)

Projected Seats

  • National 65
  • Labour 41
  • Green 8
  • ACT 3
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT  and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 65 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 69/123 – 7 more than minimum 63 needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 8 + Mana 1 = 50/123 -12 less than minimum 63 needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 48.2% (-4.2%)
  • Clark 4.5% (+2.0%)
  • Goff 7.6% (+0.8%)
  • Peters 4.0% (-0.4%)

Leadership Approval

  • Key – 68.6% (-7.2%) doing well vs 17.0% (+4.1%) doing poorly – net positive is 51.6% (-11.3%)
  • Goff  – 27.7% (+1.0%) doing well vs 47.3% (-2.0%) doing poorly – net positive is -19.6% (-3.0%)

Leadership Characteristics – Positive

  • honest – Key by 22% (-3%)
  • down to earth – Key by 15% (-3%)
  • understands econ problems – Key by 19% (-6%)
  • has personality – Key by 54% (+4%)
  • in touch with Maori – Key by 3% (-3%)

Leadership Characteristics – Negative

  • inexperienced – Key by 3% (+1%)
  • out of touch – Key by 8% (+2%)

KiwiSaver

  • 43% support changes to KiwiSaver
  • 42% against KiwiSaver change
  • 87% of people in KiwiSaver will remain, but 13% want to exit
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1 Comment »

  1. [...] numbers are at Curiablog: National 53.0% (-4.5%) Labour 32.8% (+5.7%) Green 6.5% (-1.2%) ACT 2.2% (+0.5%) Maori 1.6% (-0.9%) [...]

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