Archive for August, 2010
August 18, 2010 at 9:31 am · Filed under Local Body Polls ·Tagged Auckland, Auckland Council, Digipoll, local body elections, NZ Herald
The Herald reports a Herald Digipoll:
A Herald-DigiPoll survey found 36.3 per cent of Aucklanders believe C&R, which has controlled the Auckland City Council for many years, should control the new Auckland Council. A total of 39.9 per cent of respondents said C&R should not control it and 23.7 per cent did not know or refused to answer.
The poll found 54.8 per cent had heard of C&R and 43.7 per cent had not.
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August 16, 2010 at 12:44 pm · Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged alcohol, drink driving, foreign investment, NZ Political Party Polls, Reid Research, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 890 have a party preference, (3.4% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 06 August to 10 August 2010
Client: TV3
Report: TV3
Party Support
- National 54.5% (-0.8%)
- Labour 30.6% (+0.1%)
- Green 9.5% (+2.0%)
- ACT 2.2% (+0.6%)
- Maori 1.5% (-0.4%)
- United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
- Progressive 0.0% (nc)
- NZ First 1.5% (-0.3%)
Projected Seats
- National 66
- Labour 37
- Green 12
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 0
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 66 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 70/124 – 7 more than minimum 63 needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Greens 12 = 49/124 -14 less than minimum 63 needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 48.7% (-0.9%)
- Clark 2.3% (-2.6%)
- Goff 7.4% (+2.3%)
- Peters 3.7% (+0.9%)
Leadership Approval
- Key – 69.9% (+0.9%) doing well vs 15.9% (nc) doing poorly – net positive is 54.0% (+0.9%)
- Goff – 30.9% (+3.7%) doing well vs 43.9% (-1.5%) doing poorly – net positive is -13.0% (+5.2%)
Leadership Characteristics – Positive
- capable leader – Key by 44% (+6%)
- good in a crisis – Key by 29% (+7%)
- sound judgement – Key by 21% (nc)
- in touch with Maori – Key by 6% (+1%)
Leadership Characteristics – Negative
- more style than substance – Key by 13% (-1%)
- talk down to people – Goff by 2% (-8%)
- narrow minded – Goff by 6% (-3%)
- inflexible – Goff by 7% (+2%)
Land sales to foreigners
- 76% say tighten rules
- 14% say leave as it is
- 8% say relax the rules
Drink Driving
- 35% say keep at 80
- 36% say reduce to 50
- 28% say reduce to zero
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August 16, 2010 at 11:15 am · Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged 90 day trial law, alcohol, Chris Carter, Colmar Brunton, drink driving, Economy, One News, Phil Goff, Preferred PM
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,011 adults, 864 of whom had a party vote preference
Dates: 31 July to 04 August 2010
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 49.0% (nc)
- Labour 35.0% (+2.0%)
- Green 7.0% (nc)
- ACT 2.7% (+1.1%)
- Maori 2.3% (-1.3%)
- United Future 0.4% (-0.1%)
Progressive 0.1% (-0.4%)
- NZ First 2.3% (+1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 61
- Labour 44
- Green 9
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 0
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT, United Future one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 61 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 65/121 – 3 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 44 + Greens 9 = 53/121 -9 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Economic Outlook
- 55% economy over next 12 months will be better (-1.0%)
- 19% same (+1.0%)
- 25% worse (-1.0%)
Preferred PM
- John Key 45% (-1.0%)
- Phil Goff 9% (+3%)
- Helen Clark 3% (nc)
Drink Drive Limit
- 64% say Govt should have lowered to 0.05
- 34% say should not have lowered
Extending 90 day trial periods
- 60% support extending to all employers
- 36% opposed
Chris Carter
- 58% say he should resign from Parliament
- 33% say he should not
Phil Goff
- 24% say he can win the next election
- 65% say he can not, including 39% of Labour voters
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August 16, 2010 at 10:49 am · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 912, of whom 839 have a party preference
Dates: 19 July to 01 August 2010
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 51.0% (+2.0%)
- Labour 33.5% (+2.0%)
- Green 6.5% (-2.5%)
- ACT 2.0% (nc)
- Maori 3.5% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- Progressive 0.5% (nc)
- NZ First 2.0% (-2.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 63
- Labour 42
- Green 8
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 0
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 63 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 66/121 – 5 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 42 + Greens 8 = 50/121 – 11 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 58.0% (-7.0%)
- Wrong 27.5% (+6.5%)
- Can’t Say 14.5% (+0.5%)
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August 16, 2010 at 10:24 am · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 912, of whom 839 have a party preference
Dates: 05 July to 18 July 2010
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 49.0% (-4.0%)
- Labour 31.5% (+2.5%)
- Green 9.0% (+0.5%)
- ACT 2.0% (nc)
- Maori 3.0% (nc)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- Progressive 0.5% (+0.5)
- NZ First 4.5% (+1.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 61
- Labour 40
- Green 11
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 0
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 61 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 65/121 – 4 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 40 + Greens 11 = 51/121 – 10 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 58.0% (-7.0%)
- Wrong 27.5% (+6.5%)
- Can’t Say 14.5% (+0.5%)
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