TV3 Poll December 2009

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 893 have a party preference, (3.2% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 02 December to 08 December 2009

Client: TV3

Report: TV3

Party Support

  • National 55.2% (-4.7%)
  • Labour 30.8% (+3.6%)
  • Green 7.8% (+0.9%)
  • ACT 1.8% (+0.1%)
  • Maori 1.7%  (-0.7%)
  • United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
  • Progressive 0.1% (-0.2%)
  • NZ First 1.5% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 68
  • Labour 38
  • Green 10
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 125

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 68 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 71/125 – 8 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 38 + Progressive 1 + Greens 10 = 49/124 -14 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 49.9% (-5.9%)
  • Clark 6.1% (-2.1%)
  • Goff 8.0% (+3.3%)
  • Peters 2.1% (-0.9%

Leadership Approval

  • Key – 72.9% (-9.4%) doing well vs 12.3% (+5.1%) doing poorly – net positive is 60.6% (-14.5%)
  • Goff  – 32.2% (-2.0%) doing well vs 40.6% (+2.7%) doing poorly – net positive is -8.4% (-4.7%)

Leadership Characteristics – Positive

  • capable leader – Key by 41% (+1%)
  • good in a crisis – Key by 29% (nc)
  • sound judgement – Key by 23% (-5%)
  • in touch with Maori – Key by 14% (+8%)

Leadership Characteristics – Negative

  • more style than substance – Key by 12% (+4%)
  • talk down to people – Goff by 8% (+1%)
  • narrow minded – Goff by 7% (-3%)
  • inflexible – Goff by 2% (-7%)
About these ads

1 Comment »

  1. [...] I now have a copy of the full TV3 poll results, and have blogged them at curiablog. [...]

RSS feed for comments on this post · TrackBack URI

Leave a Reply

Please log in using one of these methods to post your comment:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 10,412 other followers

%d bloggers like this: