Archive for October, 2009
October 31, 2009 at 9:41 am
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, Digipoll, Economy, Leader Ratings, NZ Herald, NZ Political Party Polls
Polling Company: DigiPoll
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 750 respondents (3.6% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 15 October to 28 October 2009
Client: NZ Herald
Report: NZ Herald pdf
Party Support
- National 57.3% (+9.4%)
- Labour 32.4% (-4.0%)
- Green 4.6% (-1.2%)
- NZ First 0.9% (-3.0%)
- Maori 2.8% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.7%)
- ACT 0.9% (-0.9%)
- Progressive 0.1% (-0.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 73
- Labour 42
- Green 0
- NZ First 0
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- ACT 1
- Progressive 1
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 73 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 75/123 – 13 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 42 + Progressive 1 + Greens 0 = 43/123 -19 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 55.3% (+9.1%)
- Clark 10.6% (-31.0%)
- Goff 6.2% (+6.2%)
- Peters 2.1% (-2.9%)
Job Approval
- Bill English 60.8% good or better, 31.9% not good or poor
- Phil Goff 41.3% good or better, 42.0% not good or poor
Direction
Financial Crisis Handling by Govt
- 77.6% say good or better
- 20.3% not very good or poor
Personal Situation compared to a year ago
- 28.7% better off
- 32.6% no change
- 37.1% worse off
Most effective Minister
- Bill English 16.2%
- Paula Bennett 5.5%
- Judith Collins 3.1%
- Tony Ryall 2.4%
- Nick Smith 2.4%
- Simon Power 2.0%
Note this question appears to be unprompted, and name recognition appears to be a major factor.
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October 26, 2009 at 6:47 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 951 (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 05 October to 18 October 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 53.0% (-4.5%)
- Labour 30.0% (+2.0%)
- Green 7.5% (+1.0%)
- ACT 2.5% (+1.0%)
- Maori 3.0% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (-0.5%)
- Progressive 0.5% (+0.5%)
- NZ First 2.5% (+0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 65
- Labour 37
- Green 9
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 65 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 69/121 – 8 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Progressive 1 + Greens 9 = 47/121 – 14 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 67.5% (-4.5%)
- Wrong 21.5% (+5.0%)
- Can’t Say 11.0% (-0.5%)
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October 18, 2009 at 6:09 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Bill English, Economy, Leader Ratings, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, Reid Research, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 917 have a party preference, (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 06 October to 14 October 2009
Client: TV3
Report: TV3
Party Support
- National 59.9% (+1.8%)
- Labour 27.2% (-2.0%)
- Green 6.9% (-0.6%)
- ACT 1.7% (+0.3%)
- Maori 2.4% (+1.2%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.2%)
- Progressive 0.3% (+0.3%)
- NZ First 1.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 74
- Labour 33
- Green 8
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 74 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 77/124 – 14 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 33 + Progressive 1 + Greens 8 = 42/124 -21 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 55.8% (+4.3%)
- Clark 8.2% (+0.2%)
- Goff 4.7% 6.5% (-1.8%)
- Peters 3.0%
Leadership Approval
- Key – 82.3% (+3.7%) doing well vs 7.2% (-2.0%) doing poorly – net positive is 75.1% (=5.1%)
- Goff – 34.2% (-0.2%) doing well vs 37.9% (-3.7%) doing poorly – net positive is -3.7% (+3.5%)
Leadership Characteristics – Positive
- capable leader – Key by 40% (+8%)
- good in a crisis – Key by 29% (+5%)
- sound judgement – Key by 28% (+8%)
- honest – Key by 29% (+16%)
- down to earth – Key by 18% (+9%)
- understands economic problems – Key by 30% (+8%)
- has a lot of personality – Key by 46% (+19%)
- in touch with Maori – Key by 6% (+4%)
Leadership Characteristics – Negative
- more style than substance – Key by 8% (-2%)
- talk down to people – Goff by 7% (-4%)
- narrow minded – Goff by 10% (-2%)
- inflexible – Goff by 9% (-2%)
- inexperienced – Key by 19% (-3%)
- out of touch – Goff by 7% (+4%)
Economy
- 54% said impact of recession has been what they expected
- 30% say it was better than expected
- 14% worse than expected
- 2% don’t know
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October 12, 2009 at 10:52 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 854 (3.4% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 21 September to 04 October 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 57.5% (+6.0%)
- Labour 28.0% (-5.5%)
- Green 6.5% (-1.0%)
- ACT 1.5% (-0.5%)
- Maori 2.5% (nc)
- United Future 1.0% (+1.0%)
- Progressive 0.0% (-0.5%)
- NZ First 2.0% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 71
- Labour 35
- Green 8
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 71 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 74/123 – 12 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 35 + Progressive 1 + Greens 8 = 44/123 – 18 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 72.0% (+4.5%)
- Wrong 16.5% (-8.0%)
- Can’t Say 11.5% (+3.5%)
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October 12, 2009 at 2:40 pm
· Filed under NZ Issues Polls ·Tagged flag, Maori, NZ Issues Polls, Research New Zealand
ResearchNZ polled 500 New Zealanders from 8 to 10 September 2009 on flying the Maori flag.
- 40% support flying a Maori flag alongside the New Zealand flag on all official occasions, and 51% disagree
- Women and younger NZers far more likely to support flying a Maori flag on all official occasions
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October 12, 2009 at 2:36 pm
· Filed under Uncategorized ·Tagged Bill English, Colmar Brunton, MPs expenses, NZ Issues Polls, One News
Colmar Brunton polled on Bill English for One News, as part of their 1,000 respondent poll in September 2009. Findings:
- 30% think Bill English has acted with integrity over his housing allowance
- 54% think he has not
- 62% think his actions have damaged his credibility as Finance Minister, while 29% disagree
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October 12, 2009 at 2:32 pm
· Filed under NZ Issues Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, NZ Issues Polls, One News, Wanganui
Colmar Brunton polled on the name of Wanganui for One News, as part of their 1,000 respondent poll in September 2009. Findings:
- 31% support name change to Whanganui
- 58% do not
- 12% unsure
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October 7, 2009 at 1:00 pm
· Filed under NZ Issues Polls ·Tagged NZ Issues Polls, UMR, media
UMR polled 750 New Zealanders from 24 to 27 September on what they think of the NZ media. Very interesting results:
- Only 35% said the NZ media are accurate in reporting the news, with 25% saying inaccurate, 37% neutral and 3% don’t know.
- Over 60s have the lowest score for accuracy – 23% compared to 43% for under 30s.
- 30% say the NZ media are balanced and 30% say they are one-sided.
- 27% say they are willing to admit mistakes, and 46% say they are not willing.
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October 1, 2009 at 7:25 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, Economy, NZ Political Party Polls, One News
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 adults, of whom 837 are decided
Dates: 19 September to 24 September 2009
Client: One News
Report:
Party Support
- National 54.0% (-2.0%)
- Labour 33.0% (+2.0%)
- Green 4.3% (-2.7%)
- ACT 3.2% (+2.2%)
- Maori 2.7% (-0.4%)
- United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
- Progressive 0.4% (-0.1%)
- NZ First 1.7% (+0.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 70
- Labour 42
- Green 0
- ACT 4
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 70 + ACT 4 + United Future 1 = 75/123 – 13 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 42 + Progressive 1 + Greens 0 = 43/123 -19 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Economic Outlook
- 70% economy over next 12 months will be better (+10.0%)
- 16% same (-2.0%)
- 13% worse (-9.0%)
Preferred PM
- John Key 50% (-1.0%)
- Phil Goff 9% (+2%)
- Helen Clark 4% (+1%)
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October 1, 2009 at 2:24 pm
· Filed under NZ Issues Polls ·Tagged UMR, Wanganui, Whanganui
UMR polled 750 New Zealanders from 24 to 27 September 2009 on what Wanganui should be called:
- 62% support Wanganui
- 25% Whanganui
- 13% unsure
- 37% of Maori support Wanganui and 50% Whanganui
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