Archive for May, 2009
May 26, 2009 at 1:53 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 985 (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 04 May to 17 May 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 52.0% (-3.0%)
- Labour 31.5% (+1.0%)
- Green 9.5% (+2.5%)
- ACT 2.0% (nc)
- Maori 2.5% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
- Progressive 0.5% (nc)
- NZ First 1.0% (-1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 63
- Labour 38
- Green 2
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 63 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 66/124 – 4 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Progressive 1 + Greens 12 = 51/124 -11 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 67.5% (+1.0%)
- Wrong 19.5% (-0.5%)
- Can’t Say 13.0% (-0.5%
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May 11, 2009 at 3:09 pm
· Filed under NZ Issues Polls ·Tagged Economy, NZ Issues Polls, UMR
UMR polled 750 people from 2 to 14 April 2009. Findings include:
- 1 in 3 believe the crisis will get a lot worse or lead to a depression
- 41% of Kiwi’s believe economy will pick up within a year
- 82% blame international events for the slow down and only 11% domestic events
- 42% expect to spend less in 2009 than 2008
Full results are here.
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May 9, 2009 at 12:15 am
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 896 (3.3% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 20 April to 03 May 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 55.0% (+5.0%)
- Labour 30.5% (-2.0%)
- Green 7.0% (-1.5%)
- ACT 2.0% (-0.5%)
- Maori 2.0% (-1.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
- Progressive 0.5% (+0.5%)
- NZ First 2.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 68
- Labour 38
- Green 9
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 68 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 72/124 – 9 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Progressive 1 + Greens 9 = 47/124 -16 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 66.5% (-2.0%)
- Wrong 20.0% (+3.0%)
- Can’t Say 13.5% (-1.0%
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May 2, 2009 at 11:39 am
· Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Leader Ratings, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, 947 decided (3.2% and 3.4% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 14 April to 21 April 2009
Client: TV3
Report: TV3
Party Support
- National 56.0% (-4.0%)
- Labour 30.0% (+3.0%)
- Green 6.1% (-0.9%)
- ACT 2.1% (+0.9%)
- Maori 2.9% (+0.8%)
- United Future 0.1% (-0.1%)
- Progressive 0.3% (+0.3%)
- NZ First 1.3% (-0.2%)
Projected Seats
- National 69
- Labour 37
- Green 7
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 69 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 73/123 – 11 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Progressive 1 + Greens 7 = 45/123 -17 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.Preferred PM
- Key 51.1% (-0.9%)
- Clark 11.5% (-2.3%)
- Goff 9.1% (+5.4%)
Leadership Approval
- Key – 80.2% (+1.2%) doing well vs 7.3% (+1.3%) doing poorly – net positive is 72.9% (-0.1%)
- Goff – 42.2% (-0.8%) doing well vs 28.3% (+1.3%) doing poorly – net positive is 13.9% (-2.1%)
Leadership Characteristics
- capable leader – Key by 32%
- good in a crisis – Key by 24%
- sound judgement – Key by 20%
- honest – Key by 13%
- down to earth – Key by 9%
- understands economic problems – Key by 22%
- has a lot of personality – Key by 27%
- in touch with Maori – Key by 2%
- more style than substance – Key by 10%
- talk down to people – Goff by 11%
- narrow minded – Goff by 12%
- inflexible – Goff by 11%
- inexperienced – Key by 22%
- out of touch – Goff by 3%
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May 1, 2009 at 7:58 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 897 (3.3% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 06 April to 19 April 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 50.0% (+0.5%)
- Labour 32.5% (+3.5%)
- Green 8.5% (-0.5%)
- ACT 2.5% (-1.5%)
- Maori 3.5% (-0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (-0.5%)
- Progressive 0.0% (nc)
- NZ First 2.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 62
- Labour 40
- Green 10
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 62 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 66/122 – 4 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 40 + Progressive 1 + Greens 10 = 51/122 -11 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 68.5% (+2.5%)
- Wrong 17.0% (-5.0%)
- Can’t Say 14.5% (+1.5%)
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