Archive for August, 2008
August 25, 2008 at 11:20 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Leader Ratings, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, TNS, TV3
Polling Company: TNS
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 14 August to 20 August 2008
Client: TV3
Report: TV3
Party Support
Party Support
- National 48.0% (nc)
- Labour 37.0% (+2.0%)
- Green 6.0% (-1.0%)
- NZ First 3.0% (-1.0%)
- Maori 2.0% (nc)
- United Future 1.0% (+0.7%)
- ACT 2.0% (+1.0%)
- Progressive 0.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 60
- Labour 46
- Green 7
- NZ First 0
- Maori 6
- United Future 1
- ACT 3
- Progressive 1
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning six electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- National 60 + ACT 3 = 63/124 – majority possible
- Labour 46 + Progressive 1 + Greens 7 + Maori 6 + United Future 1 = 61/124 = no majority possible
The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 63 is shown. It is assumed ACT would only go with National and Progressive only go with Labour. For National next options after ACT, in order of ease, are United Future, Maori Party, NZ First and Greens. For Labour next options after Progressive in order of ease are Greens, NZ First, Maori Party and United Future.
Preferred PM
- Key 34.0% (+2.0%)
- Clark 31.0% (+3.0%)
- Peters 3.0% (-2.0%)
- English 3.0% (+2.0%)
Leader Ratings
- Clark – 63% (+6%) performing well vs 22% (-7%) performing badly
- Key – 56% (+6%) performing well vs 20% (-3%) performing badly
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August 19, 2008 at 6:30 pm · Filed under NZ Issues Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, National, NZ Issues Polls, One News
One News has broadcast results from their poll, relating to trust in National:
- 50% say National is not being open about its plans
- 37% say they are being open
- 25% of National’s own supporters say they are not being open
- 52% against boosting borrowing for infrastructure, 39% agree
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August 18, 2008 at 8:36 am · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Fairfax, Nielsen, NZ First
The Dominion Post reports further results from the Fairfax/Nielsen poll, on the issue of NZ First:
- 48 per cent of voters believe Peters should be stood down from his ministerial positions over questions surrounding donations to NZ First, with 37% disagreeing and 15% unsure
- On whether NZ First should be involved in discussions after the election about the formation of the next government, 37% support a Labour doing a deal with NZ First and 52% against. For a deal with National 26% say yes and 54% say no.
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August 17, 2008 at 10:14 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, NZ Political Party Polls, One News, Preferred PM
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,009 total voters and 908 decided voters (3.2% and 3.4% maximum margins of error)
Dates: 9 August to 14 August 2008
Client: One News
Report: TVNZ
Party Support
- National 51.0% (-1.0%)
- Labour 37.0% (+2.0%)
- Green 3.5% (-2.5%)
- NZ First 2.6% (+0.2%)
- Maori 3.1% (+1.4%)
- United Future 0.7% (+0.7%)
- ACT 0.6% (-0.6%)
- Progressive 0.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 66
- Labour 48
- Green 0
- NZ First 0
- Maori 6
- United Future 1
- ACT 1
- Progressive 1
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning six electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Preferred PM
- Key 36.0% (-2.0%)
- Clark 33.0% (+2.0%)
- Peters 3.0% (-1.0%)
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August 16, 2008 at 6:12 am · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Fairfax, Nielsen, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM
Polling Company: Nielsen
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,102 total voters, 981 decided voters (3.3% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 6 to 12 August 2008
Client: Fairfax Media
Report: Stuff and Stuff
Party Support
- National 54.0% (+3.0%)
- Labour 35.0% (nc)
- Green 4.0% (-1.0%)
- NZ First 3.0% (-1.0%)
- Maori 2.0% (nc)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 1.0% (nc)
- Progressive 0.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 70
- Labour 46
- Green 0
- NZ First 0
- Maori 6
- United Future 1
- ACT 1
- Progressive 1
- Total 125
This is based on Maori Party winning six electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Preferred PM
- Key 43.0% (+4.0%)
- Clark 31.0 (-1.0%)
- Peters 2.0% (-1.0%)
Issues
- 35% think National can afford significantly bigger tax cuts than Labour, 48% disagree
- 45% think personal finances get better in next 12 months, 30% worse
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August 15, 2008 at 5:40 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 836 (3.5% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 28 July to 10 August 2008
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 48.0% (+0.5%)
- Labour 34.0% (+1.5%)
- Green 7.5% (-0.5%)
- NZ First 6.5% (+1.5%)
- Maori 2.0% (-1.0%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
- ACT 1.5% (-1.0%)
- Progressive 0.0% (nc)
- Other 0.5% (-0.5%)
Breakdowns are also given for Auckland, Wellington, Christchurch, Other NI and Other SI.
Projected Seats
- National 58
- Labour 41
- Green 9
- NZ First 8
- Maori 6
- United Future 1
- ACT 2
- Progressive 1
- Total 126
This is based on Maori Party winning six electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Country Direction
- Right 44.5% (+6.0%)
- Wrong 41.0% (-6.0%)
- Can’t Say 14.5% (nc)
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August 10, 2008 at 7:03 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, Electorate Polls, One News, Tauranga
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone of Tauranga voters
Poll Size: 519 voters (4.3% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 6 August to 9 August 2008
Client: One News
Report: None yet
Candidate Support
- Simon Bridges, National 48%
- Winston Peters, NZ First 28%
- Anne Pankhurst, Labour 15%
Party Support
- National 55%
- Labour 31%
- NZ First 6%
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August 10, 2008 at 12:22 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Digipoll, Electorate Polls, Marae, Te Tai Tonga
Polling Company: DigiPoll
Poll Method: Random Phone of Te Tai Tonga voters
Poll Size: 380 voters (5.1% maximum margin of error)
Dates: Unknown but possibly 22 July to 4 August 2008
Client: Marae
Report: None yet
Candidate Support
- Mahara Okeroa, Labour 39.4%
- Rahui Katene, Maori Party 42.4%
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August 8, 2008 at 5:09 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 834 (3.5% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 14 July to 27 July 2008
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 47.5% (-4.5%)
- Labour 30.5% (+2.0%)
- Green 8.0% (+1.0%)
- NZ First 5.0% (-1.5%)
- Maori 3.0% (+2.0%)
- United Future 0.5% (-0.5%)
- ACT 2.5% (+2.0%)
- Progressive 0.0% (-0.5%)
- Other 1.0% (+1.0%)
Breakdowns are also given for Auckland, Wellington, Christchurch, Other NI and Other SI.
Projected Seats
- National 57
- Labour 39
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 6
- Green 10
- United Future 1
- Maori 6
- ACT 3
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning six electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Country Direction
- Right 38.5% (+2.0%)
- Wrong 47.0% (-2.5%)
- Can’t Say 14.5% (+0.5%)
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August 8, 2008 at 4:01 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Digipoll, Electorate Polls, Hauraki-Waikato, Marae, NZ Political Party Polls
Polling Company: DigiPoll
Poll Method: Random Phone of Ikaroa-Rawhiti voters
Poll Size: 400 voters (4.9% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 7 July to 21 July 2008
Client: Marae
Report: None yet
Party Support
- Maori Party 44.9%
- Labour 33.4%
- National 12.0%
Candidate Support
- Nanaia Mahuta, Labour 45.3%
- Angeline Greensill, Maori Party 41.4%
Most Liked MP
- Pita Sharples, Labour Maori Party 25.5%
- Nanaia Mahuta, Labour 13.4%
- Winston Peters, NZ First, 10.6%
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